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SOL drops to 5-month low despite Solana spot ETF success: Is $100 next?

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SOL drops to 5-month low despite Solana spot ETF success: Is $100 next?

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Solana ETFs recorded inflows for 13 consecutive days, but SOL price lost key technical support levels, sparking fears of a drop to $100.

Key takeaways:

  • The spot Solana ETFs have recorded inflows for 13 consecutive days.

  • SOL broke its multi-year uptrend, slipping below a key moving average.

Spot Solana exchange-traded funds continued to attract investor interest, recording their thirteenth straight day of inflows, underscoring institutional demand for the network’s native asset.

According to data from SoSoValue, Solana ETFs added $1.49 million on Thursday, bringing cumulative inflows to $370 million and total assets to over $533 million. The Bitwise Solana ETF (BSOL) was the only one that recorded inflows on Thursday, marking the weakest since its launch on Oct. 28.

Solana ETFs inflows. Source: SoSoValue

The weakening SOL ETF inflows reflected the bearish sentiment across the market, with spot Bitcoin ETFs recording $866 million in daily net outflows on the same day, the second-worst day since launch.

Spot Ether ETFs also posted $259.2 million in outflows, reducing their cumulative inflows to $13.3 billion. The funds shed $183.7 million on Thursday and $107.1 million on Wednesday.

The persistent demand for Solana ETFs has, however, failed to hold SOL above key levels, with the technical setup indicating a potential for a deeper correction.

 

 

 

 

 

 

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SOL price breaks key support levels

In line with the waning ETF inflows, SOL’s price action turned sharply bearish last week, falling over 34% over the last two weeks to $142 on Friday, its lowest level since June 23. The correction also broke a 100-week SMA and the multiyear uptrend that began in January 2023, with the $95 level serving as the yearly low.

Solana is currently testing a daily order block around $140, a level with limited support, according to data from Glassnode.

Glassnode’s UTXO realized price distribution (URPD) — a metric that shows the average prices at which SOL holders bought their coins — reveals that there is little clustering of these buy levels below $140. This means there are a few holders who are defending the price there.

SOL: UTXO realized price distribution (URPD). Source: Glassnode

If the price breaks below this level, it could drop toward the 200-week SMA at $100, which represents the last line of defense for SOL price.

Solana one-day chart: Source: TradingView

Solana’s downside is backed by weakness in the relative strength index, which has hit its lowest level since April 2025.

As  reported, a break below $150 will see the SOL/USDT pair extend the decline to $126 and subsequently to the solid support at $100.

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