Latest Bitcoin price data suggests double top above $200K in 2025
DecenTrader co-founder Filbfilb says, as he doubles down on $180,000 in 2025, that Bitcoin halving cycles still dictate potential BTC price highs and lows.
Bitcoin is still on target to hit $180,000 in its next splitting cycle, a long-lasting business sector member said.
Co-founder of trading suite DecenTrader Filbfilb reaffirmed his bullish BTC price outlook for the coming years in a new analysis that was released on March 3.
Filbfilb keeps faith in Bitcoin halving cycles
Despite traders’ high levels of skepticism regarding the 2023 rally and the approaching $30,000 BTC/USD, predictions of a sky-high BTC price have not been well received.
In the wake of the crypto winter of 2022, opinions on two current $1 million forecasts—one from ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood and the other from former Coinbase executive Balaji Srinivasan—continue to diverge.
Filbfilb used raw math to figure out some likely macro tops and bottoms for Bitcoin following its next block subsidy halving to determine whether either has merit.
The halving, which is expected at the end of March next year, will again reduce the block reward paid to miners by 50%. BTC/USD has displayed behavior patterns that are still valid today in previous four-year cycles following previous halvings.
“When employing Days from the Bitcoin Halving, in which the inflation rate of new Bitcoins is divided by two; We can see that Bitcoin peaks between 368 and 550 days after the halving and bottoms between 779 and 914 days after the cycle, “Filbfilb concluded.
His analysis, which produced a so-called “price curve,” demonstrates that it may be possible to get a rough idea of where the top and bottom of BTC/USD will be in the upcoming halving cycles.
“It is possible to use this model to predict where Bitcoin price may reside at the peak and trough of future cycles by combining expected halving dates and days to cycle tops and cycle bottoms alongside extrapolated regression of price data,” he continued.
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BTC price to $200,000 or more?
Thus, in line with 2013, 2017 and 2021, 2025 should see a “double top” setup, in which Bitcoin peaks above $200,000 twice.
The comparing bear market low a year after the fact revolves around $50,000, as indicated by the estimations.
Although Filbfilb acknowledges that price volatility and the relative blow-off top trajectory will diminish over time, he argues that global trends toward digital stores of value will support Bitcoin bulls.
Nevertheless, he believes that the next cycle will produce a higher high than the numbers suggest—around $180,000, which has been in play since February—for his part.
“I recently stated that the goal for the next cycle is $180k; For the time being, I’ll stick to that,” he said.
