ETH trading pattern points to 100% rally to $5,000: What are the odds?
Ether price enters the most bullish phase of a powerful trading pattern, but bearish headwinds could stall the rally in the short-term.
Key takeaways:
- Ether’s chart shows a “Power of 3” setup, with a price target above $5,000.
- Spot ETH ETFs recorded net inflows of 106,000 Ether last week, marking the seventh consecutive week of positive inflows.
- ETH still faces a potential 25% correction as increasing whale exchange inflows and short positions surge.
Ether’s price chart shows a textbook “Power of 3” setup following a trend deviation between $2,100 and $2,200 that took place last Sunday. This movement unfolded after a period of price consolidation between May 9 and June 20.
The sudden liquidity sweep drove ETH to its multi-month support, but buyers swiftly absorbed the decline, pushing the price above $2,500 by Monday.
Ether prepares for “most hated rally” in Q3
The Power of 3, or “AMD” model, short for Accumulation, Manipulation and Distribution, offers a framework for understanding institutional investor trading strategies around key liquidity zones.
The accumulation phase, typically marked by quiet sideways price action, occurred between May 9 and June 20. During this phase, market participants build positions while volatility remains low, laying the groundwork for larger moves.
This was followed by manipulation, visible in the brief breakdown below $2,200. Here, price action seeks to trigger retail investor panic and force premature selling or short entries, only to reverse violently against the expected move.
As ETH rebounded to $2,500 from $2,200, institutional investor demand followed. Data from Glassnode noted that spot ETH ETFs recorded 106,000 ETH in net inflows last week, marking the seventh consecutive week of positive flows. This significant capital movement further validates the setup’s transition into its final stage.
The distribution phase is now underway, where ETH begins moving aggressively in the opposite direction of the manipulation zone. Liquidity pools above become targets, and price often accelerates as trapped positions are unwound. In the current market, Ether distribution phase target lies above $5,000, i.e, a 100% rally.
The Power of 3 pattern mirrors Ether’s 2016–2017 rally. Thomas Lee, the newly appointed head of Bitmine, highlighted this fractal and suggested that ETH could be on the verge of its “most hated rally,” a surge few expect, but one driven by institutional investors and long-term market structure.
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Ether could face a 25% correction
Conversely, As reported that a bearish outlook could also be emerging. Ether faces a potential 25% decline toward $1,600 after failing to break a long-standing technical resistance and slipping below the lower boundary of a multi-year symmetrical triangle on the two‑week chart.
At the same time, a massive ETH whale moved approximately $237 million worth of Ether, from staking to exchanges, with over 62,000 ETH already entering Binance over five days. This wave of redistribution from large holders into mid‑tier wallets suggests mounting selling pressure and downside risk for ETH.
Crypto trader exitpump also noted that Ether is struggling to break the $2,500 resistance level, with the current market shorting the altcoin. The chart shows that aggregated open interest rose during the New York trading session, even as ETH prices declined.
Meanwhile, short-term funding rates turned negative and spot volume decreased, signaling growing bearish pressure. With immediate liquidity now concentrated below the current range, the key downside targets lie between $2,350 and $2,275.
